Comment - from Ealing Southall Watch - on that donation

"This could be the story that decides the outcome on Thursday"

The Ealing Southall Watch blog covers the donation story and then says the following about its possible effect on the outcome of Thursdays poll....

..... The other thing it highlights, which is not good for David Cameron is just how superficial his project is proving to be if Tony Lit, Blair-donor one week, Cameron-candidate the next, is his chosen representative of what he wants to change in his own party. It takes the whole ‘heir to Blair’ line to an embarrassing extreme.

It’s also not obviously smart for Labour to have highlighted this. The public could well read this as confirmation of the Liberal Democrat message of ‘vote conservative, get labour’. If there is an anti-Labour majority in Ealing the splitting of that opposition vote is Labour’s best chance of holding the seat.

This event though should polarise it. Certainly the odds I just checked on Betfair (after yesterday’s story) have shifted with the Conservatives in third on 4.4 and Liberal Democrats second on 3.6, Labour unchanged on 1.79. That looks like the start of momentum to me and what Labour don’t want is a clear anti-Labour opponent to emerge in the next four days.

This could be the story that decides the outcome on Thursday.

Ealing Southall Watch

Political Betting Now make the odds:

Labour 0.79/1
Liberal Democrats 2.6/1
Conservative 3.4/1